The Numbers of Iraq

In the course of investigating this report about the most recent attempt to gauge the death toll in Iraq, I stumbled into a twisted web of public opinion companies. The organization responsible for the report, the ORB, is a member of the British Polling Council, which in turn is modeled on the National Council on Public Polls, an American organization. Thankfully, to help navigate this heady mix of numbers, acronyms, and propaganda, the NCPP on its homepage was nice enough to publish this list of 20 Questions That A Journalist Should Ask About Poll Results. The most significant question on the list for determining whether the poll is strong or not is #11, dealing with the notion of margin of error. According to the pollsters at the ORB, the aforementioned report on Iraq had a very strange +2%. I say strange in that normally, this measurement would be a plus or minus type of operation, but thankfully for the people of Iraq or the propagandists who will publish these data for their own ends, the results are only positive.